Who will be the second man behind the Christian Democratic Union Party?

Even if there is a mathematical majority for the Traffic Light Coalition on October 8th, it probably won’t happen. In reality, the election campaign is just a three-way battle for second place behind Prime Minister Boris Reine’s Christian Democratic Union (CDU).

aThe federal election results were also very different from what the polls had predicted. Until recently, Nancy Visser (SPD) and Tarek El-Wazir (Greens) had information that Prime Minister Boris Ryan (CDU), whom they were running against, was clearly ahead of them in the opinion polls.

Meanwhile, the anniversary of the 2021 national vote is no longer suitable for inspiring confidence. Given the dynamics of the election campaign, polling data from the first half of the federal election year was far from the vote count on September 26, 2021. But the values ​​determined by, for example, the Election Research Group three weeks before the federal election were relatively close to the official final result. . The largest deviation was 2.2 percentage points, well below the usual margin of error of three points.