There has been speculation for weeks about when Ukraine’s spring offensive might start and what it would look like. The well-received video provides clues.
It’s a one-minute, four-second video Valery ZaluchnyUkraine’s supreme commander, sent a message to his countrymen – and to the world – to images of determined-looking soldiers and advancing tanks: “It is time to take back what is ours.”
The perfectly produced propaganda video titled “Prayer for the Liberation of Ukraine” was not only posted on the Supreme Commander-in-Chief’s social media channels over the weekend, but was the main topic of Ukrainian TV news. Soldiers’ chants such as “Hill our decisive offensive” are not the only indication that the Ukrainian army’s long-awaited spring offensive could indeed be imminent.
Oleksiyi Danilov, secretary of Ukraine’s National Security Council, told the BBC the attack could start “tomorrow, the day after or the week after”. It is a historic opportunity that Ukrainians cannot afford to miss. According to the BBC, the interview was picked up with a call from President Zelensky Interrupted, who ordered Danilov to attend a meeting to discuss the details of the attack. Head of the Ukrainian Military Intelligence Kirillo Budanov I declared in the past few weeks that Ukraine now has everything it needs to attack.
There is speculation that the Ukrainians want to take back parts of the Chersonesos and Zaporizhia regions still occupied by Russia.
Preparations have been underway for weeks: the Ukrainians have systematically attacked and partially destroyed command posts, barracks, supply depots and Russian railway junctions in occupied Crimea, in the occupied regions of eastern Ukraine and in some parts of Russia itself. This was also achieved with the help of England’s recently launched Storm Shadow cruise missiles, which have a range of 250 km and expanded the capabilities of the army led by Zalochny.
Otherwise, it is known that in recent months Ukraine has re-equipped and trained nine brigades – each with up to 4,500 soldiers – using Western military technology for the offensive. These units were not intentionally in place Defensive battle at Bashmut And other places, which Salochny explicitly expressed in mid-December 2022. “I hope the soldiers in the trenches will forgive me,” the commander-in-chief told the English newspaper “The Economist” at the time.
When and where will the new brigades be deployed? There is speculation that the Ukrainians want to take back parts of the Chersonesos and Zaporizhia regions still occupied by Russia. These areas allow control of parts of the Black and Azov sea coasts and control of access to Crimea – from Moscow’s point of view, the crown jewel of the conquered lands.
Of course, the Russians have many places in many places along the front defense lines Consisting of trenches, artillery positions, anti-tank barricades, and minefields – any attack would likely result in heavy casualties for the Ukrainians. American military planners were still assuming, at least in February, that an offensive in Kiev would only be able to liberate a small percentage of the 17 percent of its territory held by Moscow.
Meanwhile, Russia is leading Drone warfare and cruise missiles against Ukrainian targets. Kiev was subjected to heavy bombardment on Monday morning, even in broad daylight, after dozens of Russian shells were fired the previous two nights. Kyiv Mayor Vitali Klitschko spoke via Telegram about the explosions in the central parts of the city. He also published a picture of flaming missile parts falling in the middle of a road in the Obolon region. The authorities called on people to seek shelter. This was the sixteenth attack on Kiev in May alone.
Dozens of Russian drones also targeted other cities. Explosions were reported from the town of Zhitomir, west of Kiev. Chersonesos has been attacked three times, the Supreme Military Command “South” of Ukraine reported the presence of seven Russian warships equipped with cruise missiles in the Black and Azov seas and rated the risk of further attacks as high. in Dnipro city Military governor Serhiy Lisk reported that after the Russian missile attack on a hospital on May 27, four dead people have been recovered so far.
Florian Hassel He is the correspondent for Ukraine and the Balkans based in Belgrade.More information