Because of the hard-line Biden and anti-abortion extremists
Trump’s party still has to shudder before the election
The US midterm elections will be held in November. So far, political scientists have predicted a Republican victory. But now the winds are starting to turn — for Joe Biden and against Donald Trump.
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For former US President Donald Trump, the midterms are likely to be tougher than originally expected.
What is happening in the United States now? US President Joe Biden (79 years old), who looks very cute, suddenly stretches his claws. The Democrat rebuked Republicans a week ago, “Donald Trump and the Republicans embody the extremism that threatens the foundations of our republic.”
And in Alaska, which has been dominated by Republicans for decades, Mary Biltola (49) defeated Trump’s girlfriend and former vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin (58) in the House by-election. The Democrats also performed surprisingly well in five other by-elections.
Political scientists had previously predicted that Biden’s Democrats would lose their majority in the November 8 midterm elections, in which the House of Representatives and a third of the Senate would be reelected. Now the Democrats are on the offensive. In the polls, they have outperformed the Republicans after nine months and are ahead by one percentage point. Was imminent defeat averted?
Radical Republican Candidates
Claudia Bruhler, 40, an American expert at St. Gallen University, says: “The current poll results make Democrats optimistic that a majority in the House of Representatives will be possible and that losses will be less dramatic overall than feared at the beginning of the year.”
Midterm elections are usually some kind of vote for the presidency and the loss of the ruling party is inevitable. “But given the fact that many Republican primary winners from the Trump camp are considered too extreme for the average voter, some experts doubt their chances of winning.” In addition, Donald Trump (74 years old) is facing more and more problems due to the raid on his golf club in Florida.
Abortion law mobilization
According to Brühler, there are other reasons why Democrats are gaining ground. “The success of Biden’s social and climate package was certainly timely. At the same time, he played to his advantage that the Supreme Court’s decision on abortion would revitalize the Democratic base as well as many independent voters.”
This Supreme Court ruling, repealing the current right to abortion nationwide, will be an important mobilizing factor in many states — albeit on both sides. Not only would that lead to losses for Republicans, because the majority of residents in some states actually favor a conservative path.
However, who will win the election in the fall depends above all on one subject: the economy. Brühler says economic development will be more important than “these Kulturkampf issues”. She concludes: “The president will follow economic developments with concern. This is an area where his opponents usually score.”
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