- In the first round of France’s parliamentary elections, a neck-and-neck race emerged between President Emmanuel Macron’s centrist coalition and the left-wing NUPES coalition.
- According to the provisional official final result, the president’s camp is only 25.75 percent ahead by 0.09 percentage points over the leftist coalition NUPES with 25.66 percent.
- When it comes to the distribution of seats in the second round of voting within a week, expectations are that Macron’s camp will get a majority.
A few weeks after President Emmanuel Macron was re-elected, the French elected a new parliament with 577 seats. In the first round of voting for the so-called National Assembly, the candidate who gets more than 50 percent of the votes in his constituency (majors) wins.
If not, all candidates who receive more than 12.5 percent of the vote must go to a second ballot next Sunday.
Macron does not want a left-wing prime minister
Macron wants to get a majority in Parliament again. Otherwise, he would have to appoint a government with a prime minister from the opposite camp (“coexistence”).
French Prime Minister Elizabeth Bourne sees opponents without a chance. She also warned against strengthening the left: “We cannot risk destabilization.”
Despite the losses, the leader of the French Conservatives (Les Républicains, LR), Christian Jacob, sees his party as a significant opposition force with a current 92 seats. According to forecasts, they and their allies achieved up to 13.7 percent of the vote and could get up to 80 seats.
Mélenchon: ‘Defeat for Macron’
Jean-Luc Melenchon, leader of the leftist party LUPES (Left, Communists, Greens and Socialists), sees the result as a clear defeat for Emmanuel Macron. “The president’s party is beaten and defeated in the first round”.
Melenchon called on citizens to go to the polls next Sunday “to categorically reject the murderous plans of the majority of Mr Macron.”
Le Pen: “A great victory”
Marine Le Pen called Rascompliment National (RN)’s performance a “massive victory”: “It is important that Macron not have an absolute majority, which he would abuse to use his brutal methods and self-centeredness.”
The second ballot provides an opportunity to send a very large group of national deputies to the National Assembly. According to extrapolation, the pool is up to 19 percent.
Macron is in a good starting position
“The Macron Center Alliance currently has the best cards,” says SRF correspondent Alexandra Gopsier in Paris. “His middle coalition still has reserves,” that is, voters who will have to choose alternatives to their favorites who lost on the first ballot for the second ballot. According to Gubser, LUPES currently has its own momentum, but there are no significant reserves.
The “incumbent’s cross” is that he cannot continue the success of his first election as president, and after five years cannot necessarily be certain of a parliamentary majority. “Because after five years the paint has stopped and there is a new display on the left side,” Gubser says.
The second round of the parliamentary elections will be held next Sunday. Then in single constituencies it’s all about a relative majority – the candidate who gets the most votes gets elected.
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