Experts say Boris Johnson already has his back against the wall, but …
“No one knows how far he will go to secure power”
British Prime Minister Boris Johnson, 57, is currently still in office. But experts agree that the politician is too weak. The fear of being unpredictable is growing.
Publication date: 07.06.2022 at 20:33
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Updated: 10:40 AM
A day after surviving a vote of no confidence, British Prime Minister Boris Johnson (57) stood in front of the cameras on Tuesday morning. Just a few hours ago, 211 MPs from his Conservative party had given him their confidence. This makes it clear: Johnson will remain prime minister – at least for now.
Speaking of a “streak,” Johnson wants to leave the Partigate’s case behind and looks forward. “But it is not that simple. Johnson is significantly weak,” says Great Britain expert Gerhard Danemann (63) of the Center for British Studies in Berlin. The symbolic number of 100 deputies against Johnson was the first limit. Now there were even 148 deputies. That is an order historically bad.
Heavy defeat in the by-election?
And 41 percent of his people expressed mistrust. This shows, according to Dannemann, that Johnson can no longer automatically rely on a majority in Parliament. “It will be difficult for him to continue to govern well.” Difficult decisions will be made in the coming months, including raising taxes. Opinions within the party are very different. It is not clear how Johnson wants the party now.”
British journalist Graham Lucas is also clear: “Johnson has his back against the wall.” In the past there have always been votes of no-confidence, for example in the case of John Major, Margaret Thatcher or, more recently, Theresa May. To resign after a more or less short time. » Although Major did not resign, he was very weak and lost the next election as a result.
By-elections are still pending in two British electoral districts. Experts expect Johnson’s Conservative Party to lose in both districts. This may have a clear impact on political events. If Johnson loses both groups, it will be a disaster. Wakefield County, for example, is a traditional Labor seat and was only occupied by Johnson in 2019. Now Labor is likely to regain the seat. On the other hand, Tiverton in the Southwest traditionally votes for the Conservative Party. If Johnson loses the circuit now, that would be a disaster! “
“There are now signs of farewell.”
The population also withdrew their confidence in the prime minister. According to opinion polls, 60 to 70 percent of Britons want Johnson to resign. But assessing Johnson is very difficult and, above all, a politician with very cold power. He ignores the rules and no one knows how far he will go to secure his power.”
A new law is being discussed in Great Britain. With this, the police can ban or disperse “too loud” demonstrations. But what is too high is decided by the police depending on the situation. Lucas said. There is a growing fear among the population that Johnson will pass the law and violate it, for example to suppress free speech.
It remains to be seen if Johnson will step down. “For most other people, I would say they will have to quit at some point,” says British expert Gerhard Dunnemann. “But with Johnson, you don’t know it. He has survived many difficult situations. He will probably make it to the next general election. At the moment I would say the signs are goodbye.”
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